The New York metropolitan region is thriving, but its neighborhoods are experiencing many different forms of displacement. Wages of low-income residents—as well as housing policies—have not kept pace with the acceleration of housing prices, resulting in significant demographic shifts in the 31-county, tri-state region.
UC-Berkeley, with the help of students at NYU’s Center for Urban Science and Progress (CUSP), analyzed regional data on housing, income, and other demographics to better understand and predict where gentrification and displacement is happening and will likely occur in the future.* Assisting in the validation of the analysis were the Local Initiatives Support Corporation New York City (LISC NYC), as well as nine different community and civic organizations. It is our hope that the visualization of these nine types of neighborhood change will help communities better understand their trajectories and stabilize their resident population.
UDP conducted this research project in close consultation with LISC NYC, which sought to build on its 2016 Convening on Neighborhood Change and Displacement with a tool that provides a long-term, regional framework as context for the significant ongoing policymaking on housing and community stability. Understanding displacement in New York is critical given its housing crisis: rising rent burdens, homelessness, loss of rent-regulated housing, public housing deterioration, and more. With new interest in the New York region from big tech firms like Amazon, Apple, and Google, as well as new federal policies like Opportunity Zones and local actions that seek to harness market-rate development to boost the supply of affordable housing, it is time for New York to look more carefully at displacement.
* Note: Please see the students’ project here.